For most of the past 15 years, investors have been rewarded for doing one thing above all else. Buy large U.S. stocks. Buy technology. Buy anything connected to artificial intelligence. Ignore valuation. Ignore tangible assets. Ignore balance sheets. Ignore dividends.
That strategy has worked extraordinarily well.
The problem is that successful investment strategies eventually become crowded investment strategies. Crowded investment strategies eventually become expensive investment strategies. Expensive investment strategies eventually become disappointing investment strategies.
That does not mean U.S. stocks are about to collapse. It does mean that investors looking for the next decade of superior returns should be looking somewhere very different than where they have been looking for the last decade.
They should be looking overseas.
More specifically, they should be looking at international deep value stocks trading at discounts to tangible book value, low multiples of cash flow, and prices that assume permanent disappointment.
This is not a new idea. It is actually one of the oldest ideas in investing.
Ben Graham built fortunes buying stocks below asset value. Marty Whitman spent decades buying companies where the balance sheet was worth more than the market capitalization. Walter Schloss generated exceptional returns by purchasing companies selling below book value and waiting patiently for investors to rediscover them.
The fascinating part is that while these opportunities have largely disappeared in the United States, they remain abundant throughout Europe, Japan, the United Kingdom, Australia, Singapore, and other developed international markets.
That matters.
The Evidence Is Overwhelming
The academic evidence supporting deep value investing is overwhelming. Research from Eugene Fama and Kenneth French established the long term power of value investing across global markets. Later studies by Josef Lakonishok, Robert Haugen, James O'Shaughnessy, Tobias Carlisle, Wes Gray, Cliff Asness, and many others repeatedly demonstrated that buying the cheapest stocks based on book value, cash flow, earnings, and enterprise value has historically generated excess returns.
What is particularly interesting is that the effect appears even stronger internationally.
Several academic studies have shown that the cheapest stocks in developed international markets have historically produced higher returns than both broad market indexes and more expensive value stocks. The phenomenon is especially powerful when investors focus on companies with strong balance sheets and sufficient financial strength to survive temporary adversity.
That fits perfectly with my own approach.
I have never been interested in buying bad companies.
I am interested in buying good balance sheets at bad prices.
That distinction matters.
Many investors hear the phrase "deep value" and immediately picture some dying business with declining sales, mountains of debt, and a management team that should probably be investigated by several regulatory agencies.
That is not what we are doing.
We are looking for companies trading below tangible book value, below replacement cost, or at absurdly low multiples of cash flow despite possessing healthy balance sheets, real assets, and the ability to survive until market sentiment changes.
International markets currently offer those opportunities in abundance.
The Numbers Are Extraordinary
According to GMO research, developed international markets continue to trade at discounts of roughly 25% to 50% compared to U.S. equities across multiple valuation measures. Even after recent outperformance, the cheapest international stocks remain extraordinarily inexpensive relative to both their own history and U.S. markets.
GMO's research focuses on the cheapest 20% of developed international stocks and finds that deep value remains unusually discounted relative to both the broader market and traditional value indexes. Their work suggests that the valuation spread between deep value stocks and the overall market remains historically wide, creating substantial potential for future mean reversion.
Those valuation gaps are extraordinary.
As of March 2026, GMO's international deep value portfolio traded at roughly 1 times book value, 7.5 times cash flow, and 11.3 times forward earnings. Comparable multiples for the S&P 500 were 5.1 times book value, 21.4 times cash flow, and 21.5 times forward earnings. In plain English, investors are paying almost three times as much for every dollar of cash flow in the United States as they are in international deep value stocks.
That is not a normal relationship.
More importantly, these discounts exist despite improving fundamentals.
Corporate governance reforms in Japan continue to encourage higher returns on capital and shareholder friendly actions. European banks have repaired balance sheets after years of regulatory pressure. Many international industrial companies are benefiting from reshoring, infrastructure investment, and defense spending trends. Capital allocation has improved dramatically across much of the developed world.
Investors, however, remain anchored to the narrative that only America offers attractive investment opportunities.
History suggests that narratives eventually change.
You Get Paid Twice
One of the strongest arguments for international deep value right now has nothing to do with individual companies. It is the dollar.
The U.S. dollar remains near historically elevated levels relative to many developed market currencies. The yen, euro, and pound sterling all remain inexpensive compared to long term averages. GMO specifically highlights exposure to these undervalued currencies as an important component of the international deep value opportunity.
Currency cycles matter.
American investors often forget that buying international stocks involves purchasing both businesses and currencies. When the dollar eventually weakens, international investors frequently receive an additional tailwind beyond the performance of the underlying companies.
You get paid twice.
First through earnings growth and valuation expansion.
Second through currency appreciation.
That combination has historically produced some very attractive periods of relative outperformance.
This setup should look familiar to anyone who has watched me buy community banks at discounts to tangible book value. When we purchase a community bank at 70% of tangible book value with excess capital, low credit risk, and a solid dividend, we are essentially betting that eventually the market will recognize the disconnect between price and value.
International deep value investing is the same exercise on a larger scale.
Instead of buying one cheap bank in Ohio or New Jersey, we are buying entire baskets of companies throughout Japan, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Singapore, Australia, and other developed economies where investors have become excessively pessimistic.
The Risks Are Real, and That Is the Point
The risks are obvious:
Some companies deserve to be cheap
Some industries face structural challenges
Geopolitical uncertainty remains elevated
Economic growth outside the United States has often disappointed
Those concerns are real.
Fortunately, the beauty of deep value investing is that we do not require perfection. We simply require outcomes that are less terrible than current prices imply.
When a stock trades below tangible book value, or at 5 times cash flow, expectations are already extraordinarily low. Positive surprises become far more likely than negative surprises.
That is the essence of successful value investing.
Buy assets where pessimism is fully priced in.
Wait patiently.
Allow fundamentals and mean reversion to do the heavy lifting.
The opportunity today is especially compelling because we are not talking about obscure frontier markets or speculative emerging economies. We are discussing developed countries with functioning legal systems, established capital markets, sophisticated corporations, and long histories of wealth creation.
The investment world spent much of the past decade chasing glamour, growth, and momentum.
That worked.
The next decade may belong to tangible assets, cash flow, balance sheets, dividends, and valuation discipline.
Those are exactly the characteristics that define international deep value investing today.
At some point investors will rediscover the simple truth that paying less for assets generally produces better long term returns.
When that happens, the cheapest stocks in the developed world may become one of the most profitable places to invest.
Fortunately, they are still hiding in plain sight.
This is one of four portfolios inside the Flagship Report. My Small-Cap Deep Value portfolio runs this exact discipline - good balance sheets at bad prices - on the companies too small and too neglected for the institutions to touch. It is the same method Walter Schloss used to compound at 20% a year for 47 years. The five names below are a free starting point. The full portfolio is what Premium is for.
Five Names Hiding in Plain Sight
Finding attractive international deep value opportunities is not difficult right now. The challenge is narrowing the list. Markets outside the United States remain filled with companies trading at discounts that would have value investors such as Ben Graham, Marty Whitman, and Walter Schloss reaching for their checkbooks.
The following five companies represent different industries, geographies, and economic themes, but all share one common characteristic. They appear to be trading at prices that underestimate the value of their assets, earnings power, and long term prospects.
Henderson Land Development $HLDCY
Hong Kong real estate has been left for dead by global investors. Political uncertainty, slowing economic growth, higher interest rates, and concerns about mainland China have combined to create one of the most deeply discounted property markets in the developed world.
Henderson Land Development is one of Hong Kong's premier property owners and developers, with a portfolio that includes office buildings, retail properties, residential developments, and infrastructure assets.
Despite owning billions of dollars worth of prime real estate in one of the world's most important financial centers, the shares trade at a massive discount to net asset value. Investors today are effectively buying trophy assets at prices that imply permanent distress.
History suggests that periods of extreme pessimism toward Hong Kong property markets have often created outstanding long term investment opportunities for patient investors.
Buenaventura is Peru's largest publicly traded precious metals company and one of the most interesting ways to gain exposure to gold and silver at a reasonable valuation. The company owns a collection of producing mines, development projects, and strategic investments throughout Peru. Gold prices remain near historic highs, silver appears increasingly important for industrial applications tied to electrification and renewable energy, and global central banks continue accumulating gold reserves.
Despite these favorable trends, many mining companies continue to trade at valuations that imply much lower commodity prices.
Buenaventura combines significant mineral reserves with a strengthening balance sheet and substantial leverage to higher precious metals prices. Investors seeking hard asset exposure without paying the premium valuations found in many North American mining stocks should find BVN worthy of consideration.
Toyo Co. Ltd. $TOYO ( ▼ 1.75% )
Japanese equities remain one of the most compelling hunting grounds for value investors. Corporate governance reforms, shareholder friendly capital allocation policies, and pressure from the Tokyo Stock Exchange to improve returns on equity are creating conditions not seen in Japan for decades. TOYO represents the type of industrial and manufacturing company that international investors routinely overlook. The business operates in specialized markets with durable competitive advantages, conservative financing, and meaningful tangible asset backing. Like many Japanese companies, management historically emphasized financial strength over maximizing short term shareholder returns. That culture created balance sheets loaded with cash and underappreciated assets. As Japanese corporations continue to unlock value through buybacks, dividends, and improved capital allocation, companies such as TOYO could benefit from both rising earnings and expanding valuation multiples.
Yara International $YARIY
Few sectors have been more out of favor than global agriculture and fertilizer production. Yara International, headquartered in Norway, is one of the world's largest fertilizer producers and agricultural solutions providers. The company occupies a critical position in the global food supply chain. Population growth, increasing protein consumption in developing nations, and limited arable land create a long term need for higher agricultural productivity. Fertilizer demand may fluctuate from year to year, but the underlying trend remains intact.
Yara's global production network, distribution infrastructure, and technological expertise provide competitive advantages that would be difficult and expensive to replicate. The shares currently trade at valuation levels that fail to fully reflect the strategic importance of the business or its long term cash generating ability.
KT Corp. $KT ( ▼ 0.22% )
South Korea has quietly become one of the most attractive markets in the world for value investors. Corporate governance reforms, shareholder activism, and efforts to reduce the so called "Korea Discount" are beginning to unlock value across the market. KT Corporation is South Korea's leading telecommunications provider and owns critical communications infrastructure that would be virtually impossible to duplicate.
Telecommunications businesses are rarely exciting, which is exactly why value investors should pay attention. Customers pay their phone and internet bills before they buy new cars, take vacations, or purchase luxury goods. That creates recurring cash flow and predictable earnings.
KT combines those defensive characteristics with a strong dividend yield and a valuation that remains far below comparable communications companies in the United States.
As Korean markets continue attracting global capital, KT offers investors a combination of income, stability, and valuation support that is increasingly difficult to find elsewhere.
These five companies are not speculative moonshot stocks. They are not artificial intelligence stories. They are not momentum names attracting headlines on financial television. They are exactly the type of neglected, asset rich, cash generating businesses that have historically formed the foundation of successful deep value portfolios.
If the case for international deep value proves correct over the next several years, companies such as these could provide investors with both substantial upside potential and a meaningful margin of safety.
These five are a free starting point, not a portfolio. The discipline that finds them - good balance sheets at bad prices, here and abroad - is the same one that runs the Flagship Report's Small-Cap Deep Value portfolio every week. Most investors are stuck with wherever the S&P 500 takes them, fully exposed to the most expensive market in a century. Flagship subscribers own four portfolios built to work in up years, down years, and sideways years.
Tim Melvin
Editor, Tim Melvin’s Flagship Report
